Liveblogging Sidewalk Labs’ Master Innovation and Development Plan, Entry 19: The MIDP Volume 1, The Plans; Chapter 1: The Quayside Plan, Part 2: How it Works (III) and Public Engagement

It’s the the final part of my voyage through Part 2 of Chapter 1 of Volume 1. Or, as I like to call it, the Middle of the End of the Beginning of the MIDP.

Previous Master Innovation and Development Plan liveblog entries and relevant documents available here

Part 2.6: Digital Innovation (pp. 230-243; not listed in the Table of Contents)

In this section, Sidewalk Labs begins to set out its data-governance plan, which for the moment consists mainly of general intentions and proposals.

This section is all about Sidewalk Labs setting standards that would give it and Google significant leverage in other markets (standards are power), and defining data in such a way (i.e., a very slippery definition of something called “urban data”) that gives it and other companies access to data generated in Quayside, including data for advertising purposes.

Which Sidewalk Labs has fought every step of the way

Toronto and Ontario have taken some important initial strides to advance the conversation around data governance principles. (p. 232)

Toronto Star headline, August 14, 2018: “Sidewalk Labs unveils plans for timber towers, raincoats for buildings in Quayside, but Torontonians must wait for data details”

Key components of its data-governance plan

Distinction between urban and non-urban data: your regular reminder that urban data is a term that does not exist in Canadian law, leaving Sidewalk Labs with a lot of leeway to define it in its own interest.

An “open digital infrastructure” that will use “urban data to improve quality of life.” This would involve a “standardized mount system” that would “eliminate vendor lock-in” and would allow Sidewalk Labs a shot a setting a global standard. (p. 233)

“Open and secure” data standards. A set of publish standards around open-data architecture, access and sources”

Goal: to allow third parties to build on Sidewalk Labs’ system (i.e., creating a platform) (p. 233)

Question: is Sidewalk Labs’ standardized mount, “Koala,” a proprietary design?

New bureaucracy: An Urban Data Trust

anchored by a Responsible Data Use (RDU) Assessment — an in-depth review that is triggered by any proposal to collect or use urban data — and guided by a set of RDU Guidelines that incorporates globally recognized Privacy by Design principles. (p. 233)

  • The Urban Data Trust would be “independent,” “not controlled by either Sidewalk Labs or Waterfront Toronto”
  • It would have a five-person board and a Chief Data Officer
  • It would approve “all collection or use of urban data in Quayside”
  • It would only cover “urban data” (other types of data are not covered by this section) (p. 240)

More details apparently are in Volume 2.

It would be responsible for establishing “a set of Responsible Data Use (RDU) Guidelines that would apply to all entities seeking to collect or use urban data in the IDEA District, incorporating globally recognized Privacy by Design principles.” (p. 240)

Sidewalk Labs would play a key role in setting these policies, which, again, would be based on a category “urban data” that it has defined.

According to Sidewalk Labs, this policy should be governed by the following principles:

  • Beneficial purpose for urban data’s use;
  • transparent and clear notification to individuals about how this data would be collected.
  • Minimize data collection with the least-invasive technology
  • Publicly accessible data by default (property de-identified or non-personal data). No matter that it’s becoming increasingly clear that truly deanonymizing data is an impossible task.
  • No selling or advertising without explicit consent. Of course, urban data by definition is collected in public spaces where it is pretty much impossible to get valid individual consent. So, consent would have to happen in another way; i.e., via mass consent.
    • Here’s the problem: Smart cities require ubiquitous surveillance and data collection. Getting individual consent for data collected from an individual’s movement through a public space is pretty much impossible. So consent would have to be done in a pre-determined manner (e.g., by merely entering the space, or by posting a sign, or). In other words, the Urban Data Trust is the only organization that can define what “mass individual consent” actually entails. It’s not going to shut down the smart city. Rather we’ll find that getting legal (but ethically fraudulent) “individual consent” can be achieved simply through a bit of bureaucratic manoeuvring, of defining the problem away. This is a good example of how Sidewalk Labs’ commitment to actual individual privacy is much less than it seems.
  • Responsible AI principles (all these on p. 241).

It would also

implement and manage a process for approving the responsible collection and use of urban data anchored by a publicly auditable Responsible Data Use (RDU) Assessment — an in-depth review that is triggered by any proposal to collect or use urban data. (p. 240; proposed rules listed on page 241)

Data use

Urban data produced by Sidewalk Labs’ platform would be “publicly accessible, enabling companies, community members, and other third parties to use it as a foundation to build new tools.” (p. 233)

Questions:

  • How would this use be qualified?
  • To what extent would this involve the possibility of privatizing public services?
  • Since this data would be produced from (Canadian/Toronto) residents and Toronto geography, will Canadian governments, NGOs and/or companies have priority access to this data? Otherwise, one could easily anticipate the monopolization of this level of services by data giants like Google.
  • Who will maintain the platform? (Sidewalk Labs, I think.)
  • For how long?
  • What happens after the first contract finishes?
  • What will the public authorities do to ensure that the city isn’t held hostage to Sidewalk Labs as the keeper of the platform?

Its promises for “best-in-class resiliency and security” are just that – promises – unless and until we see exactly what they are doing, beyond their current list of things the company (which isn’t a city) currently uses (p. 239).

What’s not here

What about “non-urban data”? Maybe it’ll be discussed later?

Public Engagement (pp. 244-249)

Nothing to see here: This part is repeated word-for-word from the Overview.

Next up

We have a Very Special Episode for Post 20: a quick look at the economic analysis underlying Sidewalk Labs’ projections and we all learn an important life lesson. See you there.

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Liveblogging Sidewalk Labs’ Master Innovation and Development Plan, Entry 18: The MIDP Volume 1, The Plans; Chapter 1: The Quayside Plan, Part 2: How it Works (II)

In which Sidewalk Labs promotes the innovative nature of building tinier-than-currently-allowed apartments and I note the irony of Sidewalk Labs touting a transparency app in what is easily the most poorly designed non-transparent document I’ve ever had the misfortune to spend three weeks reading.

But enough of my petty complaining. Let’s get straight to activitivating,  shall we?

Previous Master Innovation and Development Plan liveblog entries and relevant documents available here

Part 2.3: Buildings and Housing (pp. 168-196; not listed in the Table of Contents)

Changing regulations: A “digital building code”

a proposed digital building code system could help ensure that this vibrant mix of uses can thrive without creating nuisances, such as noise.

This proposal assumes that specific and easily measurable criteria – most notably noise – are the only reasons why manufacturing and residential have traditionally been separated. I would like to hear from municipal experts about why we have the current separation of building/activity types, and what is being gained and lost from this proposal.

The mass timber bet

It drives Sidewalk Labs’ cost projections and environmental commitment (p. 172) Also, it doesn’t yet exist. It may work out. Or it may not. That’s how innovation works.

Also, they want to save money via “Factory-produced buildings.” (p. 173) I’d love for an expert to weigh in on this proposal (which, again, remains an aspiration supported here by some pretty drawings).

“Flexible building interiors” (p. 178)

I’d like to see some actual designs and plans, certified by an engineer saying that these can actually work and won’t collapse, please. Instead, all we have again are aforementioned pretty drawings and a reference to “design concepts” from three architecture firms (p. 181). If actual plans exist, they’re not referenced in this section. I also want to see the architecture firms interrogated in public, by qualified engineers, regarding the viability of their mock-ups. In short, how theoretical are these proposals? How far away from being street-ready are they?

I don’t mean to sound too much like a broken record, but this is not a plan; it’s the world’s largest sales brochure.

Affordable housing

On page 191, we get some insight into how Sidewalk Labs would create affordable housing:

Smaller apartments (7% smaller on average), allowing for more units, including Murphy beds, “convertible furniture, built-in-shelfing and fold-out tables. … ” and off-site storage for their stuff, and tool (e.g., ladders) rental. This tool rental is referred to as “borrowing,” but given Sidewalk Labs’ tendency to want to charge for everything it can think of, I’m betting this would end up being a rental service.

Also, “communal spaces,” co-living units that sound like rooming houses or roommate flats, where people could rent out spare rooms for visiting relatives or to host “dinner parties.”

I would be curious as to who would be interested in living in a pod with a Murphy bed, sharing a kitchen and dining room with roommates. Because that’s what Sidewalk Labs is selling here. It all sounds like a way to cram as many poor people into a small as spaces as possible, while ensuring that more room exists to sell much-bigger condos to rich people. Or maybe it’s for single workaholic tech bros?

Their mass timber dream would also contribute to health, through reduced stress from people looking at wood.  This is based on research finding reduced stress “that have been shown to occur with exposure to nature in cities.”

The story of Jamie (pp. 192-195)

I’m not sure that the story that Sidewalk Labs is using to sell their unique flexible housing is telling the story that they think it is. First, it’s as much a story about financing as it is about housing. Second, it describes a person who doesn’t want to live outside of a, what, six-block, area his entire life. That Sidewalk Labs is proposing a mix of dwellings is fine, but it’s also kind of banal.

Part 2.4: Sustainability (pp. 198-213; not listed in the Table of Contents)

According to this section, Sidewalk Labs would hit its environmental goals by improving insulation, making buildings airtight, better filtering and more efficient air conditioning. (p. 200)

Also: a district-wide thermal grid relying on “clean energy sources” (p. 202), such as geothermal energy, waste heat, wastewater heat, and assuming solar panels and batteries (pp. 203-204). This is something that requires a system built on the level of the wider waterfront area Sidewalk Labs would like to control.

Also: an app that would allow you to manage your energy use. (p. 205)

I would like to hear from some independent engineers on the feasibility of this proposal. Also, Sidewalk Labs is all about telling us about how this would work if everything goes right. We also need to know, and what could go wrong?

On waste disposal (p. 209): I want to know who’s going to fix all this when it breaks down, what the maintenance budget is going to look like, and the skills needed by the people who are going to keep this complex system going.

Stormwater management (p. 210-213). Not my area of expertise.

Part 2.5: Social Infrastructure (pp. 214-229; not listed in the Table of Contents)

  • Sidewalk Labs would not directly provide community services. (p. 216)
  • It proposes allocating 90,000 square feet toward social infrastructure (question: how much of this is flex space?) (p. 216)
  • It proposes “supporting local community organizations and service providers with expertise, digital prototypes, resources, and planning to bring innovative service delivery models to the community.” Question: How much would it charge for these services? (p. 216)
  • It proposes working “with partners to ensure that critical services are accessible to all populations, including the most vulnerable.” Question: How long is this service commitment for? What does a for-profit development company know about social services? (p. 216) One possible answer, on p. 120: through below-market rents (p. 120) and possibly provision of its “expertise, including support on technical roadmaps for new or existing digital tools that could meaningfully improve outcomes, efficiency, and experience.” (p. 221) Question: What does Sidewalk Labs know about community services? Google, on the other hand, is building an expertise in this area.
  • It proposes getting “a local partner to convene health care and community service providers; working together with the community, this group could explore opportunities to provide proactive, integrated, digitally enabled, and holistic service delivery offerings.” (p. 216)

Super-innovative: A government-transparency app.

This is all a bit vague:

To complement the physical space, fully accessible digital tools — both those already existing in the market and others created in partnership with the community — could help people to participate in civic life, collaborate, and shape their neighbourhood and help governing bodies to undertake more transparent, inclusive, and responsive decision-making. (p. 217)

What’s interesting here is Sidewalk Labs’ implicit view of what makes for good governance, namely full transparency as it relates to decision-making. This perspective is embedded in its description of Collab its prototype “digital tool.”

According to Sidewalk Labs, Collab:

engages community members in local decisions that can shape their neighbourhood, such as programming in a central public space, through a transparent process that reveals the decision-making framework and all community inputs. Users propose their choices for events in their community, and then the tool walks them through the trade-offs associated with each proposal — a farmers market provides fresh produce and draws a lot of foot traffic, but the space may feel too congested for a community picnic — and how their individual choices impact the community. (p. 217, emphasis added)

This app does hide a lot of the politics under the hood – who decides how issues are framed what tradeoffs are included/ignored, that everyone involved is fully informed about the issues, that all issues should be open to majority vote (think: minority rights), that there is no role for elected representatives – but for the moment, consider the bitter irony of its inclusion in this proposal.

The Master Innovation and Development Plan and the process leading up to it is the goateed evil twin of Collab, its anthesis, its negation. The MIDP proposes fuzzy, aspirational projects in the most opaque way possible, with relevant information for single parts of the project (such as the Open Space Alliance) scattered over 1,500 pages, with no complete description in any one place.

It does not include any talk of the tradeoffs involved in its choices. And the refusal of Waterfront Toronto and Sidewalk Labs to release key documents or to deal with key issues in a timely manner throughout the past two years has made the process anything but transparent.

For health and social services

The “Care Collective”: “for the co-location of preventive support, health care, and community services as well as offering leases at below-market rates to ensure a diverse set of service providers, including non- profit organizations.” (p. 220)

Sidewalk Labs invents the community centre!

the Civic Assembly, a place for gathering, learning, and engaging amongst the community. (p. 217)

This space would be operated by Sidewalk Labs (which presumably would be the landlord), working with others to plan its operations. (p. 225)

Private-public partnerships come for elementary school children!

To begin activitivating [typo, or a new business line? In a world where an “Assembly” refers to a physical space and not a group of people, nothing seems real anymore] opportunities for learning throughout the community, Sidewalk Labs is pursuing collaborations with educational leaders in Toronto. Sidewalk Labs and the Toronto Public Library (TPL) are currently exploring opportunities to seamlessly integrate the library’s presence throughout Quayside, building on the theme of learning happening everywhere.

These opportunities could include pop-up learning labs or lending services; TPL-developed classes, particularly those that support data, AI, and algorithmic literacy; or digital consult rooms in library branches or pop-up library stations that could allow residents to easily book a private session or meeting with service providers. (p. 228)

This section would seem to invite a conversation about whether or to what extent private companies should be invited into the classroom.

Another few sections finished. Let’s make #activitivating happen!

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Liveblogging Sidewalk Labs’ Master Innovation and Development Plan, Entry 17: The MIDP Volume 1, The Plans; Chapter 1: The Quayside Plan, Part 2: How it Works (I)

Continuing my voyage through The Plans. Note: This Part is pretty involved, so I’m dividing it into several posts.

For a document that is supposed to set out a plan and give us some certainty, I have so, so many Questions.

Previous Master Innovation and Development Plan liveblog entries and relevant documents available here

Part 2: How it Works (pp. 96-243)

These are the sections in which I become very aware that I am not a transportation expert. Or a housing expert. Or an environmental scientist (#respect). My expertise is in governance and the digital/knowledge realm.

Beyond being a reminder that I am not qualified to evaluate many of Sidewalk Labs’ specific proposals, I’m somewhat comforted by the fact that that nobody is capable of reviewing this document on their own. It highlights that this proposal needs an extensive, deep review by a lot of people.

What I can note is that these sections, which lay out a lot of the detail of Sidewalk Labs’ proposal, are kind of hidden from the curious expert. They’re not listed in Volume 1’s Table of Contents, where they are collectively called by the Future Planning Committee-style label “How it Works.”

I’m going to read these sections with an eye to what happens to stick out to me and that I haven’t mentioned elsewhere.

Part 2.1: Mobility (pp. 102-145; not listed in the Table of Contents)

On the much-coveted light rail

Sidewalk Labs wants:

6.5 kilometres of light rail transit proposed in the Waterfront Transit Network Plan, including a new Quayside- Parliament Plaza stop. Beyond the approved plan, Sidewalk Labs further proposes an optional second phase of construction to add light rail infrastructure to the area north of the Keating Channel to serve future development. These expanded plans can be pursued at a total estimated cost of approximately $1.2 billion (roughly $1.3 billion if the optional Sidewalk Labs link were included).

How it should be financed:

a future charge on real estate development and borrow in the present against that stream of funds to pay for part of the cost of construction of the transit system.

On transit

This approach is designed to operate safely and effectively in existing cities with traditional vehicles, however, it reaches its peak potential in a world of self-driving vehicles that can be programmed to follow traffic rules, be routed by a mobility management system, and defer to pedestrians. (p. 118)

Questions: This is yet another example of selling the best possible scenario, with no contingency for a technology (self-driving cars) not working out. The full viability of Sidewalk Labs’ plan will depend on circumstances beyond its control, namely, the replacement of all cars with centrally run, self-driving cars. This would require revamping the country’s entire transportation system to allow self-driving cars to work.

So, what happens if this tech doesn’t work out? Also, and more importantly, what bureaucracy is going to be responsible for monitoring these algorithms to ensure that they’re properly prioritizing the right things (e.g., pedestrians, transit vehicles)?

And, who will decide what these priorities will be? Right now, the politics – and the bureaucracy required to make these decisions – is invisible in this proposal. Accounting for them would both complicate and make more expensive this proposal.

On “dynamic curbs”

Sidewalk Labs’ is very big on these dynamic curbs, which is primarily a zoning innovation, turning part of a road – three metres in its drawings (p. 121) – into spots for “programming like outdoor cafés or pop-up shops (p. 124).

2035: Year of the self-driving car

It’s probably worth paying attention to how much of Sidewalk Labs’ promised deliverables are driven by the expectation that self-driving cars will work out, and also that self-driving cars, and not public transit, are the future.

There are two big issues with this prediction. First, what happens to Sidewalk Labs’ promised outcomes if this tech doesn’t work out? They need to account for this.

Second, planning is destiny. By planning for a world in which self-driving cars dominate, we are also planning to relatively minimize the role of public transit. This is a decision that should be opened up for debate. Its inclusion here highlights yet again the scope of Sidewalk Labs’ proposal, touching as it does on any number of political issues while ignoring their political nature.

It’s also yet another indicator that the issues it raises are far too big for this project, and certainly for the Waterfront Toronto consultation process. Waterfront Toronto isn’t approving a development; it’s approving a complete overhaul of almost every single regulation and policy governing life in a Toronto community, effectively outsourcing decisions about what these rules should be to a private, for-profit corporation.

Oh, and it’s really not a good idea to base your plans on something that might happen fifteen or more years down the road. And yet here we are.

“Real-time” mobility systems (p. 130)

As previously noted, Sidewalk Labs places a high priority on moment-to-moment responsiveness of streets to how they are being used (which of course will require that everything be surveilled at every moment).

Some questions:

  1. How problematic (and provide evidence) is our current set-up, in which some people can cross the street at a slower or faster rate than others (an actual example Sidewalk Labs is using to justify pervasive surveillance and a multi-million-dollar spending project)? Would another, less-expensive, and less-intrusive system, work better, such as larger fines for cars blowing red lights or vehicle restrictions?
  2. Is there something to be said for constancy, for being able to come to a neighbourhood and know that the roads and walkways will always be set up in the same way?

“Modular pavement” (p. 131)

  1. What are the drawbacks to this technology compared with currently existing materials?
  2. Would Sidewalk Labs’ “pavement solution” be proprietary? What would the maintenance costs look like?

(Again, answers to questions like this are the type of details I would hope a serious plan would include. Instead, we get promises and pretty drawings.)

Underground delivery and logistics hub (pp. 134-135)

“Quick and reliable deliveries are essential to urban living, especially for residents who do not own cars.” (p. 134) This is just correct. As a non-car-owning Toronto resident in the pre-Amazon era, I know that they’re a convenience, a luxury, not a necessity. This is a sales line.

22 accessibility principles (pp. 136-142)

This is the first section in which Sidewalk Labs makes a connection between community consultations and outcomes (and even here self-driving cars feature prominently (p. 140). And of course pretty much everything presented here is aspirational vapourware. There is no actual plan to deliver, just to explore.

In almost every other area of this report, it’s pretty clear that Sidewalk Labs sees the Eastern Waterfront as a playground for testing its own ideas.

The other exception where they say they have listened to the community is regarding data governance. Their response, however, was less-than-neighbourly, indicating that they want to get compensated for their heavily qualified commitment not to exploit data generated by this project.

And here’s something that I know nothing about, and may by nothing, but it’s interesting that it’s not mentioned in this report: Sidewalk Labs wants to do a lot of underground digging to make these parking garages and accessible garbage and package-delivery tubes work. What would be the effect of hollowing out the entire underground in this area?

Part 2.2: Public Realm (pp. 146-167; not listed in the Table of Contents)

Coulda, woulda, shoulda II

I don’t have anything insightful to contribute in this section, so I’ll take this opportunity to note that the world “could” appears 380 times in this 524-page (including soooo many pages that are either blank or have no substantive information on them) volume. This is very much a vision of what “could” be done, not what “will” be done.

More new bureaucracy: The Open Space Alliance

Oh, here’s something – another new form of bureaucracy:

In Quayside, a proposed new non-profit entity called the Open Space Alliance would have a robust programming budget to support ongoing community arts programs, design competitions, and residencies for local and international artists and technologists. (p. 156)

Dr. Natasha Tusikov addresses the Open Space Alliance in her guest post on all the agencies Sidewalk Labs wants to create. For now, I’ll note that this description severely undersells an agency that, as Sidewalk Labs describes it elsewhere in this plan, would have to deal with everything from programming to maintenance and stormwaters, and who knows what else. Also, part of its budget would be taken from existing City of Toronto programs. Also, it would be a public-private partnership (why would this be necessary). Basically, it would be a Department of Homeland Security-style behemoth: everything under one roof.

Questions: Was the City consulted about this proposal? What did they think of it?

“Building Raincoats” (p. 161)

More questions: What are the maintenance costs going to be like? Won’t these “raincoats” increase one’s separation from the overall environment? And how big a problem are the elements for people walking in Quayside? This is the cost-benefit question (the cost of the improvement versus the benefit it provides, compared with the status quo) that is entirely absent from this proposal.

Benefits from modular spaces?

Sidewalk Labs claims that “changing market forces — from online shopping to rising construction costs — and rigidly sized storefronts are limiting the variety of tenants who can survive.”

What is the relative importance of each of these factors?

How can modular spaces compete with online shopping?

Is a 30-business survey (p. 166) sufficient to support their findings/proposals?

More new bureaucracy: Seed Space

A proposed digital leasing service, Seed Space, would show all available spaces, possible configurations and fit-out options, leasing durations and terms, and potential matches for co-tenancy.

Who would run this Seed Space? Would it be a monopoly? Would it be a public entity? How would it be funded?

Zoning

The lower floors of Quayside would be zoned for retail, food and beverage; production; office space and social infrastructure space. (p. 165) How does this compare with how Toronto currently regulates in this area?

New types of leases (p. 165)

Opportunities for shorter lease terms (one-month versus traditional 10-year leases) and alternative leasing models (charging tenants a percentage of their sales versus a fixed rent) — all easily accessible through Quayside’s leasing service — would help businesses open and evolve.

Why aren’t these types of leases currently available? What rates would be demanded to provide these shorter leases? How would it be ensured that the rates would be fair to small businesses? Would the rates needed to cover the greater risk this leasing entity would have to assume eat up the benefits of a shorter lease?

That’s it for today. More tomorrow…

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Liveblogging Sidewalk Labs’ Master Innovation and Development Plan, Bonus entry 6: Review period extended

Yesterday afternoon Waterfront Toronto announced that it and Sidewalk Labs had amended the July 2018 Plan Development Agreement (new version here and on my MIDP page; news release here). The key changes are (quoting from the news release):

  • Extending the review process for the Master Innovation and Development Plan until March 2020 to allow “Waterfront Toronto more time to receive public feedback on the MIDP and to undertake an expert evaluation of it prior to making a recommendation to its Board of Directors.”
  • Terminating the agreement “should certain threshold issues outlined by Waterfront Toronto’s Board Chair not be resolved” by October 31, 2019.

These “threshold issues” mentioned in Chair Stephen Diamond’s open letter are:

  • Geographical over-reach: “Sidewalk Labs proposes the up-front creation of an IDEA District that covers a much larger area than the 12 acres of Quayside. Waterfront Toronto has told Sidewalk Labs that the concept of the IDEA District is premature and that Waterfront Toronto must first see its goals and objectives achieved at Quayside before deciding whether to work together in other areas. Even then, we would only move forward with the full collaboration and support of the City of Toronto, particularly where it pertains to City-owned lands.”
  • Procurement: “Sidewalk Labs proposes to be the lead developer of Quayside. This is not contemplated in the PDA. Should the MIDP go forward, it should be on the basis that Waterfront Toronto lead a competitive, public procurement process for a developer(s) to partner with Sidewalk Labs.”
  • Many issues beyond Waterfront Toronto’s control: “Sidewalk Labs’ proposals require future commitments by our governments to realize project outcomes. This includes the extension of public transit to Quayside prior to development, new roles for public administrators, changes to regulations, and government investment. These proposals raise important implementation concerns. They are also not commitments that Waterfront Toronto can make.”
  • Fundamental digital governance issues: “Sidewalk Labs has initial proposals relating to data collection, data use, and digital governance. We will require additional information to establish whether they are in compliance with applicable laws and respect Waterfront Toronto’s digital governance principles.”

Extending consultations was the right move

Waterfront Toronto has done the right thing in extending the consultations, something that I have argued for several times over the past month. This extension recognizes that it was unrealistic to expect the public, other government agencies and even Waterfront Toronto to conduct a thorough review of this document in a few rushed weeks. This is particularly true since the MIDP was seemingly designed to be as difficult to understand as possible.

This extension is also significant because it overturns Sidewalk Labs’ proposed (and, frankly, unrealistic) timelines. Sidewalk Labs had initially proposed that the initial approvals for Quayside be completed by the first quarter of 2020 (Volume 3, p. 197).  This extension presents Sidewalk Labs and Waterfront Toronto with an opportunity to propose realistic deadlines and takes artificial time pressures off the table.

Six months, moreover, actually fits with my back-of-the-envelope thinking about how much time a thorough consultation would require to deal with the MIDP as currently constituted. That said, the extent of the changes Sidewalk Labs would need to make to its MIDP to make it acceptable to Waterfront Toronto (discussed below) means that even this six-month extension may not be long enough.

Now that Waterfront Toronto has reduced the false arbirary-deadline-fuelled urgency around this project, it must now design a reasonable consultation process, one that does not require the public to review a new MIDP every few months. (Also, I want to get back to my life.) We need concrete deadlines.

An obvious progression would be for Sidewalk Labs to deliver a revised MIDP that responds to Waterfront Toronto’s requirements by October 31 (or late November at the latest, if Sidewalk Labs indicates that it is willing and able to make the required changes by October 31). Because the current MIDP is effectively a non-starter, Waterfront Toronto should scrap its Fall public consultations (although of course it should continue its own analysis and discussions with relevant government agencies). Consultations could run from January to March 2020, after Waterfront Toronto has received a revised MIDP and the public has had enough time to process it. Then it can report, and the Board can make its decision.

Waterfront Toronto’s “off ramp”

As David Skok noted on Twitter, the October 31 deadline to resolve the above issues provides Waterfront Toronto with a clear “off ramp” to end its relationship with Sidewalk Labs. The issues identified by Diamond, while not an exhaustive compilation of all of the problems with this report, are fundamental enough to require a complete revision of the entire plan:

  • The MIDP does not only propose some plans beyond Quayside; its fundamental pitch is that Sidewalk Labs would develop the entire “IDEA District” or nothing at all. Quayside is not treated as a viable development project in and of itself.
  • Similarly, as far as I can tell, almost all of the economic development promise of Sidewalk Labs’ plans is based on bringing Google to Villiers West (out of scope of the original RFP) and creating a mass-timber industry (which would only be viable in Sidewalk Labs’ telling at the IDEA District level).
  • The MIDP basically assumes away the enormous and time-consuming issue of getting various levels of government to change laws and regulations. Even when a government wants to make changes, these takes time. And there is almost always opposition to legislative projects, for any number of reasons, not necessarily nefarious.
  • And that’s without pointing out that governments change, they have their own agendas, and they move at their own speed. Neither Waterfront Toronto nor Sidewalk Labs (even backed by Google) necessarily have the pull to impose their wills on governments that have decided they don’t want to play ball.
  • A realistic, revised plan would have to allocate much, much more time to getting these changes, and would have to include contingency plans for situations in which such reviews are not forthcoming.
  • Also, to make this project work, Sidewalk Labs had to invent any number of new agencies. Waterfront Toronto is right to be concerned about these proposals. They are, in a word, undercooked, failing to provide any sense of the resources (human and financial) that would be needed to run them, and completely ignoring the political realities of carving out new bureaucracies out of the existing city to serve a relatively tiny part of said city. Much more in upcoming posts.
  • I was very happy to see Sidewalk Labs’ proposed procurement role be called out. This is not a governance role you want to give to a private company.
  • As for the digital governance issues, yes. The MIDP places so many conditions on Sidewalk Labs’ supposed commitments to privacy, all the while inventing and repurposing terms (“urban data,” “trust”) to suit its own interests, that it’s almost impossible to trust (normal sense of the word) anything the company says about data and surveillance. There’s also the reality that these issues are best dealt with at the provincial and/or federal level, not in the context of a tiny waterfront development. Again, more in later posts.

Next steps

Given these concerns from Waterfront Toronto, it’s hard to see how Sidewalk Labs’ MIDP survives in anything resembling its current form. This means that the most likely outcomes are either the cancellation of the PDA by October 31 or a much-truncated development plan in which Sidewalk Labs rolls out its limited suite of technologies (e.g., smart awnings). In any case, we’re going to learn in Sidewalk Labs was bluffing when CEO Daniel L. Doctoroff said that they wouldn’t be interested in a development project that didn’t include light rail.

That Waterfront Toronto has extended the consultations doesn’t solve everything, of course. As I argued in my submission to Waterfront Toronto, the deal itself is fatally flawed and should be rejected. If Waterfront Toronto wants to undertake smart city-like projects, it needs first to develop the internal expertise to propose and evaluate these programs, not outsource the planning to an outside company.

Furthermore, it remains the case that Waterfront Toronto is isolated from public pressure; while parts of the current MIDP remain out of its control, the decision to accept or reject it rests only with Sidewalk Labs and Waterfront Toronto’s (appointed) board.

Quayside should be a federal election issue

Given that much of the initial pressure to do this deal came from Ottawa, and that the federal government appoints four of the board’s 12 directors, the upcoming federal election offers a rare opportunity for Torontonians to make opinions heard.

The election will be on October 21, at the latest. This is 10 days before the October 31 “off ramp,.” Torontonians should insist that local candidates and the leaders of the federal parties commit to replacing its current appointees with members who will commit to severing Waterfront Toronto’s relationship with Sidewalk Labs.

For my part, I’m going to continue blogging the MIDP in its current form. Whatever happens, October is shaping up to be an interesting month.

 

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Liveblogging Sidewalk Labs’ Master Innovation and Development Plan, Entry 16: The MIDP Volume 1, The Plans; Chapter 1: The Quayside Plan, Part 1: Development Plan

Previous Master Innovation and Development Plan liveblog entries and relevant documents available here

One question I’d love to have answered by people who know how land developments typically work is, how detailed should these plans be? Sidewalk Labs has had almost two years to put together these plans for what is really not that much land. Beyond this specific project, you would hope they’ve been thinking about their building designs for a longer time before that.

After all, this neighbourhood isn’t just going to be a laboratory to test unproven technologies; people are going to have to live here. In other words, certain technologies – such as their innovative building designs – are going to have to be ready on Day One. It would be completely unacceptable for, say, a building to fail (i.e., collapse) because the plans didn’t work out. Silicon Valley companies ship buggy software all the time; the rest of the world doesn’t (or shouldn’t) work like that.

The reason I ask is that so many of these 1,500 pages read like the world’s most convoluted sales brochure. The most detailed parts so far deal with how Sidewalk Labs is going to get paid. There are no detailed building plans that certify that their proposals for, say, moveable walls within buildings can actually work. And I understand from Dr. Natasha Tusikov, who’s read ahead, that even the regulatory changes that Sidewalk Labs wants are only discussed at the level of the legislation – there are no details about what exact changes would be necessary.

The obvious conclusion from this report is that Sidewalk Labs is not presenting a detailed plan; they’re presenting a more detailed version of their response to the Request for Proposals. It’s still mostly a list of ideas complemented with pastel drawings of parks and waterfronts. For all the daunting length of this report, there’s very little here.

Part 1: Development Plan (pp. 48-95)

Part 1.1: The Quayside Site Plan (pp. 50-67; not listed in the Table of Contents)

This part shows “the site plan and some illustrative renderings of the neighbourhood, as well as a breakdown of the development program into its core components.” (p. 49)

This connection to the water is a major theme of the Quayside plan: residents, workers, and visitors can interact directly with the water through barges, kayaks, and new floating boardwalks. (p. 50)

The site consists of 2.65 million square feet of developable space, 10 buildings across five sites that mix residential and commercial uses, and four hectares of public realm. At full build, Quayside could house roughly 4,500 residents in a range of housing options affordable to people of all incomes, as well as host roughly 3,900 jobs. (p. 56)

Outdoor-comfort strategies, such as building Raincoats that extend over the sidewalk…” (p. 67).

Honest question: How are “building Raincoats” different from “awnings”?

Part 1.2: The Quayside Development Program (pp. 68-81; not listed in the Table of Contents)

 Points of interest, and some very brief comments:

It’s charming that Sidewalk Labs considers the achievement of “Accelerated light rail expansion” as one of their “revolutionary” deliverables, alongside “All-wood construction” (p. 69).

I will leave it to others as to whether Sidewalk Labs’ “commitment to mixed-income housing” is “unprecedented”

FYI:

(Additional information on how Sidewalk Labs’ proposed plan meets or exceeds existing precinct plans and zoning bylaws is available in the “Planning Policy Justification Report” section of the MIDP Technical Appendix.) (p. 70)

Quayside: “five sites, 10 buildings, and 2.65 million square feet of developable space.” (p. 70; detailed table on p. 71)

All-wood buildings

removing the equivalent of 20,000 cars from the road annually. (p. 70)

“Stoa on the lower two floors” (retail, production, community spaces)

Loft designs: flexible spaces in mid-rise part (fewer stories than is typical due to higher ceilings): commercial and “live-work spaces in what would normally be residential-only building.” (p. 71)

Note: “Outcome-based” bylaws would be needed to allow manufacturing and residential living to coexist. A good area for urban experts to weigh in.

Sidewalk Labs aims to create a neighbourhood filled with more open and publicly accessible space than it might otherwise have, often with an intimate feel. (p. 72)

This quote makes me think of the Australian urban-planning-department comedy Utopia. Actually, most of the Quayside development makes me think of Utopia.

(Note to self: re-watch Utopia.)

I’ll also leave to the experts a review of their proposed commercial/residential splits in Part 1.2. However, I will note that they place a great deal of emphasis on the flexibility of their “Stoa” and “Loft” spaces.  To what extent does this lack of flexibility inhibit or impair the development of mixed neighbourhoods? How often does a given space open up for rental or renovation?

As I’ve noted elsewhere, these proposals are being presented as a solution to a problem whose negative effects are never investigated. Unasked questions: What is the size of the cost that the current situation is imposing on society? Do these “problems” warrant a response, particularly this response?

On mixed use: Sidewalk Labs takes control

A typical development is not designed in such a way to include light manufacturing, and zoning and building codes often prohibit production spaces within mixed-use projects. But production-oriented businesses are once again becoming a key part of urban economic growth. (p. 77)

This quote offers a good example of how Sidewalk Labs is privatizing control over bylaws regarding a traditionally public-sector issue. With this proposal, Sidewalk Labs is trying to present a technical solution to a political problem. The discussion about whether current zoning and building codes are appropriate for today’s society would be a worthwhile one, but Sidewalk Labs here is assuming the answer rather than investigating the question.

These concerns are not mitigated by the fact that Sidewalk Labs says it

plans to work closely with the city to develop this proposed system, which would be operated, managed, and enforced by the City of Toronto, in full accordance with the standards established by the city. (p. 77)

Note that in Sidewalk Labs’ telling, the City only has the power to set standards within the parameters set by Sidewalk Labs, when it’s the fundamental decision to embrace this mixed-used zoning that’s the important issue.

Open spaces: “more than 40,000 square metres of open space” (p. 78).

A proposed set of outdoor comfort strategies and weather-mitigation structures would increase the number of hours it is comfortable to be outdoors by an estimated 35 percent, as compared to traditional public spaces. (p. 79)

Parking: non above-ground; 500 spaces for a visitors’ below-ground lot; underground interchange facility for those who want to drive to Quayside. The cars would be stored “at a 750-space off-site parking facility in the Port Lands or a nearby location.” (p. 80)

Question: Does Sidewalk Labs’ climate change mitigation strategy account for these 1,250 cars, not all of which will be electric?

The Waterfront Transportation Management Association would control these off-site lots. (p. 80) (Questions: How far off-site? In the River District? Beyond? Would this expand Sidewalk Labs’ sphere of influence?)

High prices for on-site parking (p. 81) would serve as a driving disincentive for Quayside residents.

They’re planning for self-driving cars by 2034. “Sidewalk Labs also predicts that, within the next 15 years, shared access to self-driving vehicles would fill any remaining needs that private cars serve today.” (p. 80)

I’ll bet the over.

Part 1.3: Committing to Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (pp. 82-87; not listed in the Table of Contents)

Nothing to see here: This part repeats word-for-word Overview pages 150-155.

Part 1.4: Quayside Impact: The New Bottom Line (pp. 88-93; not listed in the Table of Contents)

This section provides/repeats from the Overview Sidewalk Labs’ anticipated economic benefits:

  • 11,000 construction jobs “and catalyzing a new mass timber industry,” and 3,900 permanent jobs (p. 89)
  • Reduce greenhouse gases by 85% (p. 90)
  • Its housing targets (p. 91)\
  • 73% of trips using public transit, walking, or cycling. 91% more pedestrian space “than a business-as-usual development scenario, although this depends in part on “the potential for self-driving vehicles to share a right-of-way with public transit …” (p. 92, emphasis added) (Questions: So do ride shares and ride hailing count as public transit? What if self-driving cars doesn’t become a thing?)
  • Catalyzing digital innovation while protecting privacy (p. 93). Setting agreed-upon “data standards and protocols,” centred around an “open-data architecture”

To implement the systems needed to achieve quality-of-life objectives, Sidewalk Labs plans to purchase third-party technology or partner with third parties to create (or enhance) it whenever possible, giving priority to technology that is local to Toronto, Ontario, or Canada. (p. 93).

An “Urban Data Trust” to handle the Sidewalk Labs-invented concept of “urban data,” which I’ll cover soon, probably in the next post.

Exploring larger scales to realize and maximize the impact achieved in Quayside (p. 94-95, not listed in Table of Contents)

In which Sidewalk Labs argues (again) that they can do some interesting things in Quayside, but much of these will only work “at scale.” These include: “climate-positive infrastructure”; “light rail expansion” financed out of future growth; and mass timber production, which is designed to contribute to economic and environmental objectives. (p. 95)

In other words, if no scale, then no positive environmental and minimal economic impact for this project.

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